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ASX:EVN

Evolution Mining Ltd

Investment Summary

The fund managers believe that Evolution Mining Ltd is demonstrating strong performance, bolstered by a number of positive factors. They note that the company's record cash flows in the second quarter were driven by **higher gold prices** and a **weaker Australian dollar**. In January, Evolution achieved **AUD 4,069 per ounce** of gold sold, and expectations are high for further records in the third quarter due to current gold prices exceeding **AUD 4,600 per ounce**. The first half of FY25 was marked by a **record underlying profit of A$385m**, supported by low costs of **A$1,638/oz** and a significant **reduction in net debt** to 23% gearing, with a target of 20% during FY25. Additionally, exploration results at key sites provide multiple **medium to long-term growth options**. However, managers from Milford Asset Management advise caution, indicating a tactical profit-taking due to the recent strong price movements.

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Commentary From The Managers

Cadence Capital

28 Feb 2025

$6.09

  • Cadence Capital notes Evolution Mining's strong operating performance as demonstrated in their recent H1 FY25 results.
  • Evolution Mining achieved a record underlying profit of A$385 million driven by favorable gold prices.
  • The company's low-cost base is highlighted with All In Sustaining Costs (AISC) of A$1,638/oz.
  • Net mine cash flow reached A$435 million, contributing to a significant reduction in net debt.
  • Gearing has decreased to 23%, with a target reduction to 20% during FY25.
  • FY25 guidance indicates sustained production rates and gradually increasing net mine cash flows.

Milford Asset Management

28 Feb 2025

$6.09

  • Milford Asset Management remains positive on the medium-term outlook for gold.
  • Evolution Mining has seen a strong performance with a +6.8% increase.
  • The recent advance in gold prices has driven positive performance.
  • Milford has tactically taken some profits due to the strength of the move.

Cadence Capital

31 Jan 2025

$5.70

  • Cadence Capital updates its investment thesis on Evolution Mining Ltd.
  • January report shows record cash flows driven by higher gold prices and a weaker Australian dollar.
  • Evolution received AUD 4,069 per ounce of gold sold in Q2.
  • Current gold price exceeds AUD 4,600 per ounce, suggesting continued strong performance.
  • Third quarter expected to also produce record cash flows.
  • Excellent exploration results at Ernest Henry, Northparkes, and Cowal, providing multiple growth options.
  • Growth prospects are seen both in the medium and long term.
  • Cadence Capital continues to hold shares based on these positive developments.

Please note: The completeness, accuracy or current status of the investments referenced are not guaranteed. 

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