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Why fund managers say CAR Group's AI sell-off misreads its moat

CAR Group's share price has fallen alongside fears that AI will disrupt online classifieds, but several fund managers argue the business is more likely to benefit than suffer.

TT

Thesis Tracker

24 July 2026

6 min read

Fund managers on CAR Group: an AI disruption sell-off that cut a third off classifieds valuations, a global business now over half of profit, and a 14x FY27 EBITDA multiple.

Fund managers on CAR Group: an AI disruption sell-off that cut a third off classifieds valuations, a global business now over half of profit, and a 14x FY27 EBITDA multiple.

In Short

  • CAR Group's share price has fallen alongside a broader online classifieds sell-off driven by AI disruption fears, even as quarterly results show no evidence of disruption.


  • The company's international businesses in the US, South Korea and Latin America now contribute more than half of group profitability, according to Selector Funds Management.


  • Yarra Capital Management views CAR Group's discounted 14 times FY27 EBITDA multiple as more than pricing in realistic AI disruption risk.

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Online automotive marketplace CAR Group has been swept up in an AI disruption sell-off that several fund managers argue misreads the business entirely. Yarra Capital Management's June 2026 Article described CAR as its preferred name in online classifieds, noting online classifieds businesses broadly are down about a third, even though it views CAR as more of an AI beneficiary than a business being disrupted, since AI offers the potential to drive more traffic to its websites globally.


A monopoly audience, not just better technology


Auscap Asset Management's March 2026 Presentation made the moat argument most directly: numerous competitors including Gumtree run equivalent technology trying to do the same thing as CAR, but what stops them from monetising is that the audience sits inside CAR's business, giving vendors trying to sell a vehicle a far higher probability of generating leads on CAR than anywhere else. Auscap noted the recent share price decline had nothing to do with the company's last result, which showed strong earnings growth over five years, meaning the decline was entirely a multiple de-rating rather than a change in the underlying business.


We actually see CAR Group as more of an AI beneficiary rather than a business being disrupted. The intellectual property sits within its platform, creating a moat around the business.
— Yarra Capital Management, Article, June 2026

Selector Funds Management's August 2025 Quarterly Report detailed the company's international diversification, spanning Trader Interactive in the US, Encar in South Korea, a 70% interest in webmotors in Brazil and 83% of chileautos, with global operations now contributing more than half of group profitability. The report also detailed a smooth internal succession from long-serving CEO Cameron McIntyre to former CFO William Elliott, continuing a pattern of internal leadership transitions the manager credited to strong board governance.


What managers are watching next


Vertium Asset Management's July 2026 Article argued the sell-off has left CAR trading on close to 20 times earnings against underlying growth of around 13% plus a 4% yield, a combination it believes delivers a roughly 20% return even without any multiple re-rating, pointing to the fast-growing South American business, which grew 30% in its last result, and continued expansion of the US Trader Interactive and media businesses as additional growth levers beyond the mature Australian base. With Yarra Capital Management noting the stock's 14 times FY27 EBITDA multiple as more than pricing in any realistic AI disruption risk, the key question for managers is how quickly sentiment recovers as quarterly results continue to show no evidence of disruption to the platform's lead generation.

CAR Group Limited

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Frequently asked questions

Frequently asked questions

Why has CAR Group's share price fallen?

CAR Group's share price has fallen alongside a broader sell-off in online classifieds businesses driven by fears that AI-powered search could disrupt their lead-generation model, even though multiple fund managers say there is no evidence of disruption in the company's actual results.

Why do some fund managers think CAR Group could benefit from AI?

Yarra Capital Management and Auscap Asset Management argue CAR Group's intellectual property and dominant audience create a moat that AI is more likely to reinforce than disrupt, since AI could drive more traffic to its marketplaces and let it accelerate product development.

How international is CAR Group's business?

CAR Group operates automotive marketplaces internationally, including Trader Interactive in the US, Encar in South Korea, a 70% stake in webmotors in Brazil, and 83% of chileautos, with these global operations now contributing more than half of group profitability.

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