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Australian Vintage Ltd

Australian Vintage Ltd

ASX:AVG

Consumer Staples

Fund Manager Summary

The fund managers believe that Australian Vintage Ltd presents a significant investment opportunity, as it is seen as an out-of-favour business with hidden quality. They emphasize the importance of strong leadership, particularly the CEO, who is viewed as instrumental to the company's turnaround. The current valuation is attractive, with the company trading at one-fifth of its asset value, indicating substantial upside potential. The fund managers note that the company is now poised for top-line growth and improved cash flow, driven by a shift towards innovation-led revenue. This includes the launch of Pocca Vino, which addresses consumer needs and is expected to be a game changer for the business. Overall, they assert that AVL is well-positioned to leverage its assets for margin expansion and free cash flow generation.

Source: Trading View

Commentary From The Managers

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Wentworth Williamson

21 Oct 2025

$0.12

Summary

  • Wentworth Williamson frames the investment thesis in Australian Vintage as a classic case of an out-of-favour business with hidden quality.
  • Williamson emphasizes that overlooked opportunities can reveal valuable assets, stating, "I’m going to have a really good look… one out of every ten you go look at there’s something golden in there."
  • Australian Vintage has good assets and outstanding people, with the CEO highlighted as a core part of the thesis.
  • Williamson notes the company is trading at one-fifth of its asset value, suggesting significant undervaluation.
  • The turnaround is becoming visible, with expectations of top-line growth and positive cash flow generation.
  • Prior inventory issues have been addressed, reversing cash flow losses.
  • The thesis is based on both structural improvement and growth optionality, emphasizing the need for businesses to grow rather than just cut costs.
  • Tom reinforces the growth-driver aspect, focusing on innovation-led revenue as a key part of the turnaround.
  • Wine has lacked innovation, and AVL is addressing consumer needs by providing new formats to make wine less of a commitment.
  • Pocca Vino is presented as a significant innovation, with retailers eager to list it, indicating its potential as a game changer.
  • Innovation is expected to enhance returns by increasing consumer willingness to pay more.
  • AVL's global scalability and supply-chain redesign are crucial for protecting margins and driving growth.
  • Tom concludes by stating that the company is trading significantly below its NTA, leveraging assets to enhance margins and generate free cash flow.

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Commentary From The Managers

Wentworth Williamson

21 Oct 2025

$0.12

  • Wentworth Williamson frames the investment thesis in Australian Vintage as a classic case of an out-of-favour business with hidden quality.
  • Williamson emphasizes that overlooked opportunities can reveal valuable assets, stating, "I’m going to have a really good look… one out of every ten you go look at there’s something golden in there."
  • Australian Vintage has good assets and outstanding people, with the CEO highlighted as a core part of the thesis.
  • Williamson notes the company is trading at one-fifth of its asset value, suggesting significant undervaluation.
  • The turnaround is becoming visible, with expectations of top-line growth and positive cash flow generation.
  • Prior inventory issues have been addressed, reversing cash flow losses.
  • The thesis is based on both structural improvement and growth optionality, emphasizing the need for businesses to grow rather than just cut costs.
  • Tom reinforces the growth-driver aspect, focusing on innovation-led revenue as a key part of the turnaround.
  • Wine has lacked innovation, and AVL is addressing consumer needs by providing new formats to make wine less of a commitment.
  • Pocca Vino is presented as a significant innovation, with retailers eager to list it, indicating its potential as a game changer.
  • Innovation is expected to enhance returns by increasing consumer willingness to pay more.
  • AVL's global scalability and supply-chain redesign are crucial for protecting margins and driving growth.
  • Tom concludes by stating that the company is trading significantly below its NTA, leveraging assets to enhance margins and generate free cash flow.

Summary

Please note: The completeness, accuracy or current status of the investments referenced are not guaranteed. 

Ella Walker, Equity Research Analyst

ANALYST INSIGHT

Equity Research Analyst

"When overlooked, hidden gems often emerge. Australian Vintage appears poised for a remarkable turnaround, driven by innovation and strong leadership, making it a compelling opportunity for investors seeking growth where others see risk."

Last Updated: 21 Oct 2025

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is investing in Australian Vintage Ltd (ASX:AVG)?

Fund managers including Wentworth Williamson have invested in Australian Vintage Ltd (ASX:AVG).

Why do fund managers invest in Australian Vintage Ltd?

Fund managers are investing in Australian Vintage Ltd due to its undervalued assets and strong leadership. They see potential for significant growth driven by innovative products like Pocca Vino, which addresses consumer trends and enhances margins. The company's shift towards revenue generation through innovation, coupled with structural improvements and a focus on cash flow, positions it for a turnaround. With the stock trading well below its net tangible assets, fund managers believe there is substantial upside potential.

What happened to Australian Vintage Ltd (ASX:AVG)?

Fund managers are investing in Australian Vintage Ltd due to its undervalued assets and strong leadership, particularly the CEO's excellence. They see potential for significant growth as the company is trading at one-fifth of its asset value. The recent turnaround focuses on reducing inventory issues and leveraging innovation to drive revenue, such as the Pocca Vino initiative, which addresses consumer challenges and enhances margins. Overall, the investment thesis highlights structural improvements, growth opportunities, and the ability to generate free cash flow.

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