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Treasury Wine Estates (ASX:TWE), owner of Penfolds, is seen by some fund managers as a turnaround at a cyclical low. In September 2026, Merlon Capital Partners said Treasury Wine, after several years of a very weak Chinese consumer, is at an attractive low point and could benefit from a cyclical recovery in China. Pendal Group noted the FY26 result showed good progress on its turnaround with no negative surprises. Atlas Funds Management rated it a sell, citing excess wine inventory and suspended dividends, while Vertium rated it a hold, flagging debt levels. Treasury Wine Estates operates in the Consumer Staples sector within the Beverages industry, and Thesis Tracker has captured 41 comments from 16 fund managers, including Merlon, Pendal, Atlas and Vertium. Headquartered in Melbourne, Treasury Wine produces and markets wine through Penfolds, Treasury Premium Brands and Treasury Americas, with brands including Penfolds, Wolf Blass, 19 Crimes and Daou.
Company figures as of 15 Oct 2026. For information only.
Fund managers including Blackwattle Investment Partners, Oracle Advisory Group, Maple-Brown Abbott, Yarra Capital Management, Antares Capital, Paradice Investment Management, BKI Investment Company, QVG Capital, Perennial Partners, Ten Cap, Atlas Funds Management, Pendal Group, Ellerston Capital, Sage Capital, Datt Capital, Vertium Asset Management and Merlon Capital Partners have invested in Treasury Wine Estates Ltd (ASX:TWE).
Merlon sees Treasury Wine at a cyclical low with potential recovery in Chinese demand for Penfolds, and Pendal notes steady progress on its turnaround and a better-than-implied second half.
Atlas highlights too much wine inventory, a suspended dividend and problems unlikely to be solved quickly, while Vertium flags debt levels and concerns about overpaying for US acquisitions such as Daou.
Treasury Wine Estates Ltd., headquartered in Melbourne, Australia, is a global wine producer and marketer established on March 20, 1957. The company operates through three core reporting segments: Penfolds, Treasury Premium Brands, and Treasury Americas. Each segment manages the manufacture, sale, and marketing of wine products within specific global markets: Penfolds operates globally, Treasury Premium Brands covers Australia, Asia, Europe, Canada, the Middle East, and Africa, and Treasury Americas serves North and Latin American regions.
General information only. Thesis Tracker reports what named fund managers have published about ASX companies. It does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs, and is not financial product advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.
11,356 comments from 164 managers on 761 companies, snapshot 15 Oct 2026.